New York Rangers: How was Vitali Kravtsov’s season?
Vitali Kravtsov came into this season as a blue chip prospect who had a shot at making the New York Rangers. The season didn’t go as planned, but is he still a future star?
To call this season a disappointment for Vitali Kravtsov would be an understatement. It all started with an expectation of playing in the NHL for the New York Rangers, then he was sent to the AHL whereupon he bolted to Russia where he was demoted from the KHL and finally, he returned to Hartford.
Is Kravtsov a reclamation project, a failed first round draft pick or was he just a 19 year old kid who wasn’t ready to be promoted? Looking at his season, the truth is probably that he was a victim of unfair expectations.
His season in Hartford
How did he do with the Wolf Pack? Let’s take the first five games of the season out of the picture. He was disappointed to be demoted to the AHL, had some communications issues with the Hartford coaching staff and didn’t play his best.
Once he returned from Russia, Kravtsov played in 34 games, scoring six goals and adding eight assists for 14 points and a 0.38 points per game average. He finished with a plus/minus of -2. His shooting percentage was a less than stellar 8.9%. He finished with four minutes in penalties. One important note, let’s not forget he was all of 19 years when he started the season.
Some other Ranger prospects
How does Kravtsov’s season compare to some other Ranger prospects over the years? Filip Chytil was the only teenager who had a similar experience, coming over from Europe and playing in the AHL in 2017-18 as an 18 year old. He was more successful, scoring 11 goals and 31 points in 46 games. His shooting percentage of 10% was slightly better, but he also benefited from none of the drama that accompanied Kravtsov.
Remember, that was the 2017-18 campaign, three years ago. He spent the next season in New York , but made a return to Hartford this season before coming back to the Rangers to stay. If Kravtsov follows Chytil’s development path, he should be just fine.
Lias Andersson spent 36 games of the 2018-19 season in Hartford at the age of 20 and ironically, had better results than Kravtsov. His shooting percentage was much the same, but he had more assists and was a more physical player, with 25 penalty minutes.
Another European who came over and had to acclimate to the smaller rinks was Mats Zuccarello. In 2010-11, at age 23, he came over from the Swedish Elite League and scored 13 goals and totaled 29 points in 36 games. Zuccarello showed his scoring prowess, with a 12.2 shooting percentage as he took 107 shots, a tendency to shoot that he didn’t show in the NHL.
For what it’s worth, Chris Kreider also had a baptism in the AHL, sent down to the Connecticut Whale in 2012-13 after making his debut in the playoffs the prior season. He was 21 years old when he played 48 games in the AHL, scoring 12 goals and adding 11 assists. His offense was similar to Kravtsov’s, though his shooting percentage of 11.5% was better.
It’s worth nothing that after he was promoted to the NHL, he scored all of two goals in 23 games and was demoted again to Hartford the next season for six games before making it to the Rangers for good.
If there is anything to learn from these comparisons is that it takes time for players to become NHL pros and Kravtsov’s production was what should have been expected. Anyone who thought that he would be able to step into a regular top nine role on the Rangers was overly optimistic.
Other Russians
There have been other Russian players who have had to make the transition to North American hockey. Looking at their stats, there is reason to be optimistic.
Ivan Barbashev (St. Louis Blues) – Ivan Barbashev made his debut in pro hockey in 2015-16 as an 18 year old with the AHL’s Chicago Wolves. A second round draft pick of the St. Louis Blues, he had played his junior hockey in the QMJHL so he didn’t have to get acclimated to the smaller ice surface. In 65 games, he scored 10 goals and added 18 assists. His plus/minus rating was -14 and his shooting percentage was 10.8%.
He played another season in the AHL before making it to the Blues. Though he has never lived up to his promise as a 45 goal scorer in junior hockey it took him three seasons to become a valuable member of the Stanley Cup Champions . He contributed 14 goals and 26 points in 80 games lastyear and was headed towards an even better season this year.
Vlad Namestnikov (Colorado Avalanche) – Namestnikov was a Tampa first round draft pick who came to North America to play for the London Knights of the O HL. He made his pro debut as a 20 year old in 2012-13 with the Syracuse Crunch and in 44 games he scored seven goals and totaled 21 points. He was a plus four and had 32 penalty minutes.
Namestnikov played parts of three seasons in Syracuse before making it to the NHL for good in March, 2014. He topped the 20 goal mark in 2018 when he was traded to the New York Rangers.
Evgenii Dadonov (Florida Panthers) – Perhaps the greatest case for patience would be the career of Evegneii Dadanov of the Florida Panthers. A third round draft pick in 2007, he made his debut in North American in the 2009-10 season at age 20. He played a full season with the Rochester Americans, scoring 17 goals and 40 points. Over the next three seasons he couldn’t stick with the Panthers and ended up being traded to Carolina. After a three goal half-season with Charlotte of the AHL, Dadonov returned to Russia to play five seasons in the KHL.
In 2017-18 he signed as a free agent with Florida and has scored 28, 28 and 25 goals in the last three season, topping out with 70 points in 2018-19. Dadonov always had the skill, but didn’t live up to his promise as a player until he was in his mid twenties.
The best comparison?
Denis Gurianov – There are a lot of similarities between Gurianov and Kravtsov. He didn’t play in North America until he made his debut with in 2016-17 with the Texas Stars as a 19 year old. Gurianov had been the 12th overall selection by Dallas in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft. After one full season in the KHL, he crossed the Atlantic to play in the AHL.
He played in 57 games, scoring 12 goals and adding 15 assists for 27 points. He played two more seasons in the AHL scoring 19 and 20 goals. He finally made it as a full time NHL player with Dallas this season and at age 22, he scored 20 goals and added nine assists.
Kravtsov is more of a playmaker than Gurianov who came up with a reputation as a goal scorer. if you project a full 80 game season for both players as 19 year old’s, Gurianov would have finished with 17 goals and 38 points. Kravtsov would have finished with 14 goals and 33 points.
The sobering fact is that it has taken Gurianov until his fourth professional season to live up to the potential he displayed as a top draft pick in 2015. Vitali Kravtsov just finished his first. If there is any trait that all hockey fans have, it is a lack of patience. With Kravtsov, we would be wise to wait.
Even the best of the Russian imports spent more time in the KHL than the young Rangers and made their North American debuts when they were older. Vladimir Tarasenko had four and a half years in the KHL before making his debut with St. Louis at age 20. Evgeny Kuznetsov also spent four and a half years in he KHL before he made it to the Capitals for good at 21.
There are very few players like Alex Ovechkin who was the first overall pick, made his debut at age 20, scoring 52 goals and never looking back. If Kravtsov can be a little better than Gurianov or Dadonov and something closer to Tarasenko and Kuznetsov, the Rangers will be more than happy, even if it takes a few years to get there.