Realistic expectations for Alexis Lafrenière

How will first overall pick Alexis Lafrenière of the New York Rangers measure up?

The New York Rangers surprised no one by selecting Alexis Lafreniere with the first overall pick in the 2020 NHL Draft. Alexis Lafrenière fever has infected Rangerstown at a, well, fever pace. Being the highest pick for the franchise over the last six decades its no surprise that the organization and fan base are excited.

Even though he is joining a team mixed full of fresh young talent, and established veterans, Lafrenière is already being referred to as the face of the New York Rangers. As the savior of the franchise, following in the skates of Mark Messier’s messiah. But, are these accolades premature? Is it fair to put the pressure of so much expectation on the young player?

Since the cap era began, there have been fifteen first overall draft picks that precede the New York Rangers picking Lafrenière . This exclusive group of players includes future Hall of Famers, all-stars and solid, but not elite talent NHL contributors.  It also includes young players who have yet to make their mark and one total bust.

Breaking these players into groups of five we can see where expectations were met or misplaced. Which category will Alexis Lafreniere will fall into?  it is far too early to tell. By reviewing the three tiers of the cap era first overall picks, though, we can more accurately contain our expectations.