What can we expect the rest of Artemi Panarin’s career?

Nov 20, 2019; New York, NY, USA; New York Rangers center Artemi Panarin (10) celebrates scoring a goal with right wing Kaapo Kakko (24) against the Washington Capitals during the second period at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 20, 2019; New York, NY, USA; New York Rangers center Artemi Panarin (10) celebrates scoring a goal with right wing Kaapo Kakko (24) against the Washington Capitals during the second period at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports /
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Artemi Panarin will be star for the New York Rangers for many years to come

There was some concern when the New York Rangers signed Artemi Panarin to a seven-year, $81.5 million contract.  Besides being the second highest cap hit in the NHL, it also keeps him under contract through the 2025-26 season.  Panarin will be 34 years old when that season starts.

In his first year as a Ranger, the investment in Panarin paid off beyond expectations.  He was a finalist for the Hart Trophy and the Ted Lindsay Award.  He finished third in scoring, second in assists and first in even strength points.  Most important, he made everyone he played with better and made the Rangers a fun team to watch.

It’s especially gratifying that Panarin turned down bigger offers to play for the Rangers.  He reportedly passed on richer contracts from the Islanders and Blue Jackets because he wanted the bright lights of Broadway.  If he continues to play the way he did in his first year, he could go down as the most successful free agent signing in franchise history.

The important question is what can we expect from Panarin as he ages?   As he gets into his thirties, will his play decline and make that $11.6 million cap hit a burden?  Let’s take a look at some players very similar to Panarin to see how they did.