The New York Rangers will audition second line centers in playoffs
As the New York Rangers play down the stretch to close out the regular season and prepare for the playoffs, Chris Drury will already be preparing for the off season. In doing so, the President and General Manager will be keeping a keen eye on the second line center role. The last ten games of this season and the playoffs, however far the New York Rangers advance, can be seen as an audition for the future number two pivot.
Currently, the New York Rangers have two players who could fill this role for next season and beyond. First, the team has Ryan Strome, who has effectively held the position for the last three seasons and formed a solid chemistry with Artemi Panarin. Second, the team acquired Andrew Copp at the trade deadline, who has been exceptional since joining the Rangers. Both however are unrestricted free agents (UFA) at seasons end.
New York Rangers are cap strapped
This fact alone provides Chris Drury and the Rangers with a serious dilemma. With just under $11.8 million in projected cap space for next season, the team cannot realistically afford to keep both players. It is further unlikely that they can acquire and retain a player of equal production value and experience. One such player that many had hoped to obtain was Tomas Hertl who received an extension from the San Jose Sharks worth more than $8.1 million in cap space. Another is Mark Scheifele who is currently affordable with a $6.1 million cap hit for the next two seasons, but may cost too much in assets to acquire in trade from the Winnipeg Jets.
Thus, more than likely, the Rangers will be left to choose between the two players they already have. The team has four seasons of data to understand what Strome brings to the table. Though, minus the three game beat down the Rangers took at the hands of the Carolina Hurricanes in August of 2020, the team has not seen Strome’s play in the playoffs. Conversely, the Rangers have had very little time with Copp, though he has impressed in his nine games thus far.
Strome came to the Rangers in a change of scenery trade for Ryan Spooner in November of 2018. The following year he was given the second line center role with Panarin on his left. In that time, despite COVID-19 shortened seasons, he has set career highs in goals with 19, 18 with Rangers, assists (41) and points (59). He plays while short handed, though more sparingly under Gerard Gallant and has been part of the lethal Rangers power play that is currently ranked second in the NHL.
Strome giveth and taketh away
Not known to be a physical player, Strome does not shy away from the rough stuff either. He has two fighting majors and has been quick to jump to the defense of his teammates. Unfortunately, though, he has taken 59 minor penalties over the last three seasons, tied for most on the team with Ryan Lindgren. To compare, he has taken 22 more minors than the next closest forward, Chris Kreider, who has taken 37 over the same span.
Another unfortunate blight on his Ranger record is his lack of effectiveness in the faceoff circle. Over the past three seasons, Strome’s faceoff winning percentage is just 45.15%. Among those who regularly take faceoff’s, he is better than only Filip Chytil (40.48%) during this span. Worse still is that both this and last season his winning percentage has been below his average, regressing from a 47.5% high with the Rangers set in the 2019-20 season.
Andrew Copp came to the New York Rangers from the Winnipeg Jets at the trade deadline for a package of draft picks. Since his acquisition Copp has produced at better than a point per game pace with three goals and seven assists, for ten points in nine games. Copp’s most productive year with Winnipeg was last season, where he scored 39 points in 55 games, a 58 point pace over 82 games. This season, between both teams, he has set career highs in goals (16), assists (29) and points (45).
Copp is a well disciplined player having taken just 23 minors over the past three seasons, with no majors or misconducts. He has taken four minor penalties in his nine games with the Rangers. He played heavily on both the power play and penalty kill for the Jets and has already seen more than two minutes of penalty kill time on ice per game with the Rangers and was used on the first power play unit while Strome missed four games to injury.
Copp an artist at the draw
Perhaps his most promising attribute, Copp has recorded a career 52.0% winning percentage in the faceoff circle. With his acquisition, the Rangers were immediately improved at the dot. The Rangers have controlled the corsi possession metrics in eight of nine games Copp has been with the Rangers. Simply put, win more faceoff’s and control a greater portion of the play.
Both players have proven to have a case to be the teams second line center for the foreseeable future. Strome has shown to be more adept offensively, but takes far too many penalties. while Copp is more disciplined and is a master at the dot, but has thus far in his career been a step behind on points production. However, all of these facts, both good and bad, are from the regular season. How each fares while playing with Panarin in the post season will go a long way in helping Chris Drury make his decision.
The costs of doing business
Additionally, what each player believes their next contract is worth will also weigh heavily into who stays and who goes. Strome is coming off a contract with a $4.5MM annual average cap hit. in the three years he has been the Rangers number two center, he has averaged 0.81 points per game, a 66 point average over 82 games. The Rangers extended Kreider at $6.5 million annual average with a previous career high of 53 points. Mika Zibanejad received an extension to an $8.5 million annual average while pacing a point per game, or better, in each of the last three seasons.
In comparison with these Rangers extensions, Strome can justify a contract request of near $7 million in annual average. Copp’s expiring contract is worth an annual average of $3.640 million. With a career best production numbers falling short of the 60 point mark, an extension should be far less impactful to the team. Copp may bring many intangible assets to the table, but scoring, more so than anything else, drive contract dollars. As such, a contract that lands below an annual average of $6 million is more than likely.
The playoffs will offer an opportunity to paint a clearer picture of which player will remain a Blueshirt. However, In the end, all things being equal as they are now, Copp should be the choice. While there is an obvious emotional connection to Strome, pragmatically, Copp brings more to the table overall. All said, it is hard pill to swallow having to allow either of these players to walk via free agency. That though is the unfortunate circumstance that President and General Manager Chris Drury will need to navigate in just a few short weeks.