While no fan wants to sit through another season like last, there are worse things that could happen to this team in the coming months. In a desperate attempt to sage the room, the New York Rangers have essentially taken two steps back to take another two steps forward. With modest to poor returns from trading Artemi Panarin and Vincent Trocheck, offset by the blockbuster acquisition of Pavel Dorofeyev and the selection of Alberts Smits on draft night, the roster arguably didn't get better or worse. And that's exactly what should scare you.
Welcome to purgatory
The worst nightmare of any team building a roster from the ground up isn't staying at the bottom, it's finding themselves in a spot where you're no longer bad enough to win the draft lottery while not being good enough to make the playoffs. This is exactly where this current lineup sits. Teams like the San Jose Sharks continue to draft near the top while making no positive strides forward in the standings, but their fan base is excited as ever for what the future holds. Perennial favorites in the Hurricanes stayed relevant for the better half of the last decade, constantly knocking on the door until finally winning it all last season.
The Rangers don't neatly fit into either category. They are not like San Jose, stockpiling lottery picks and accepting short-term pain for long-term gain. They also aren't an established contender like Carolina, where a disappointing season would be viewed as an exception rather than the rule. Instead, they find themselves somewhere in between, trying to remain competitive while "retooling" their roster to keep pace with a steadily improving division.
That balancing act sounds reasonable on paper. In today's NHL, it's one of the hardest positions to find yourself in, let alone navigate out of. Teams drafting in the middle rarely add franchise-altering talent, and teams hovering around the playoff bubble often spend more time chasing the postseason than building toward a championship. That leaves organizations relying on perfect roster construction rather than elite young talent to close the gap. If the Rangers settle into that space for more than a season, the effects could extend well beyond next year. A retool that drags into 2030 is not what anyone had in mind when this process began.
What could go wrong?
The Rangers were not without their share of bad luck last season. They lost 20 games by a single goal. That's right, twenty. The season finally reached its breaking point when Igor Shesterkin and Adam Fox both sustained significant injuries in the very same game, effectively ending any realistic hope of turning things around. Logic suggests the Rangers are unlikely to endure that kind of misfortune again.
This, however, is the trap. After a disappointing season, it becomes easy to point at injuries and one-goal losses and assume the standings will naturally correct themselves over the 84 games ahead of them. While last year's bad luck certainly dragged them down, that's not to say that better luck alone will lift them high enough to contend.
There is a lot riding on J.T. Miller being the player he once was, and Chris Drury believed he traded for, all while carrying the added pressure of still being the captain of this team. The Rangers also need Mika Zibanejad to avoid slipping back into the inconsistency that plagued his prior seasons. His resurgence alongside Alexis Lafrenière and Gabe Perreault was one of the few genuine bright spots during an otherwise abysmal year.
But what if they can't recapture that same magic? Statistically speaking, it's a bit of an ask. What if adding a sniper like Dorofeyev improves the offense when they're ahead, but does little to solve their biggest problem of generating goals when they're chasing the game?
Don't look back
None of this is to say the Rangers are destined to fail. There is a realistic path back to playoff hockey eventually, and Chris Drury deserves credit for refusing to stand pat after last season's disappointment. The Rangers are asking a lot of new pieces to fit seamlessly, and a lot of bad luck to simply disappear. That is a difficult formula for sustained success.
What would truly qualify as a successful season for the Rangers? Imagine a healthy year without convenient excuses. The team still gets outmatched by the league's elite, but consistently takes care of business against the opponents it should beat. By January, they find themselves within striking distance of a Wild Card spot, giving fans a reason to stay invested without creating unrealistic expectations.
Then, when the trade deadline arrives, Chris Drury maximizes the value of a few expiring assets without stripping the roster down to the studs. With a little lottery luck, the Rangers finish just outside the postseason while still holding meaningful draft odds. It may not be the flashiest outcome, but it would leave the organization with something far more valuable than a first-round exit or another season near the bottom of the standings.
The worst place an NHL team can find itself is not necessarily at the bottom of the standings. At least there, the path forward is obvious. The middle is far less forgiving. If the Rangers can emerge from this season with a clear direction, then the year will have served its purpose. If not, they risk spending the next several seasons chasing a ceiling that continues to move just a little bit more out of reach.
